Prediction markets have moved from a niche academic concept into one of the fastest-growing areas of modern market infrastructure. Once confined to election forecasting and small experimental ...

Recently, my security team prevented a data breach—not by catching someone stealing data, but by predicting they would attempt it days before they actually tried. It wasn’t luck. We had something more ...

Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction to fill in missing data points. We need a more ...

Your friend says to you: "I bet you $100 that in 2016 a Democrat will be elected as president of the USA." Would you take such a wager? Why or why not? You might think gambling is wrong. You might ...

A 1989 demo imagined what houses of the future might look like. Some predictions were closer than you’d think.

What started as a niche corner of the internet has evolved into a multibillion-dollar industry. In 2025, prediction markets have become a substantial instrument for speculation and the forecasting of ...