Although the literature about measuring probability of default (PD) in retail credit portfolios is vast, the same thing cannot be said about measuring exposure at default (EAD). This paper aims to ...

This paper addresses the building of obligor-level hazard rate corporate probability of default models for stress testing, departing from the predominant practice in wholesale credit modeling of ...

Traders in bonds and credit default swaps are bombarded with information on the default probabilities implied by credit spreads using a simple ratio. This ratio predicts that the credit spread will be ...

Please Note: Blog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors. The blue line is the firm's one year default probability. The yellow line is ...