概率抽样（probability sampling），也称随机抽样（random sampling），是指遵循随机原则进行的抽样，总体中每个个体都有一定的机会被选入样本。从理论上讲，概率抽样是最科学的抽样方法，它能保证抽取出来的样本对总体的代表性。 概率抽样分为等概率抽样（equal ...

Survey sampling and estimation methods form the cornerstone of modern statistical inference, underpinning research across the social, medical, and natural sciences. At their heart, these methods ...

After my post the other day on tracking public opinion with biased polls, someone pointed me to this 2011 article by David Yeager, Jon Krosnick, LinChiat Chang, Harold Javitz, Matthew Levendusky, ...

The post Probability underlies much of the modern world – an engineering professor explains how it actually works appeared ...

For observations based on sensory data, the human brain must constantly verify which "version" of reality underlies the perception. The answer is gleaned from probability distributions that are stored ...

Mark Blumenthal and Natalie Jackson of Huffpost Pollster write: If you read polls in the news, you’re probably familiar with the term “margin of error.” What ...

A new sampling scheme, with probability of inclusion proportional to size, is proposed for a sample of given size n. It satisfies many requirements of a good sampling scheme under conditions usually ...

The COVID-19 pandemic has infected over 38 million people around the world and is showing no signs of going away any time soon. Researchers worldwide are frantically working on developing an effective ...